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<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />2005 Community Emissions Forecast <br />The community emissions forecast was performed using an energy forecast tool provided by <br />ICLEI. This tool uses data from the U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Association <br />and community growth rates provided by the East-West Gateway Council of Governments to <br />calculate the growth in energy use. Under a business-as-usual scenario, a situation where no <br />GHG emissions reduction measures are implemented, University City’s emissions are expected <br />to remain nearly the same over the next decade and a half. To illustrate this projected trend in <br />future in energy use, driving habits, job growth, and population growth from the baseline year <br />going forward, the author conducted an emissions forecast for the year 2020. <br /> <br />xvii <br />Table 17: Community Forecast Growth Factors <br /> <br />Sector 2008-2020 Growth Rates <br />Residential 0.0% <br />Commercial/ <br />1.0% <br />Industrial <br />Transportation 0.6% <br />Waste 0.0% <br /> <br />Figure 11: Community Emissions Forecast <br />2010-2011 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory, City of University City, MO 24 <br /> <br /> <br />